Cooler Mother’s Day, then Kansas City could flirt with record heat by Friday
Mother’s Day will be a little cooler in Kansas City, but a big warmup is set to move in this week and could bring near-record, or record, temperatures by Friday, according to the National Weather Service.
Temperatures across the region are expected to be in the mid-60s to low 70s on Sunday, with a forecast of 71 degrees in the metro, which is close to normal for this time of year.
A few early sprinkles will be possible, but most locations will stay dry, the weather service said.
Winds will shift to the south overnight into Monday, beginning the start of warmer weather. Temperatures on Monday will climb into the upper 70s under sunny skies.
Temperatures are expected to continue to climb Tuesday, reaching the mid-80s by the afternoon.
The next chance of showers and thunderstorms also arrives Tuesday afternoon as a cold front crosses the region.
There are low-end chances, 15-25%, for precipitation, but the setup is favorable for storms to form either ahead of or along the front on Tuesday afternoon and evening, the weather service said.
This makes the afternoon storms “worth monitoring over the coming” forecast cycles, the weather service said.
The Storm Prediction Center, part of the National Weather Service, has placed the southern portion of the Kansas City forecast region under a marginal risk, Level 1 of 5, for severe weather.
A few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly south of a line from Paola, Kansas, to Moberly, Missouri. The metro area and areas north of that line may only see general thunderstorm activity, the weather service said. Strong wind gusts and hail will be possible.
Behind the cold front, northerly winds will persist through Wednesday, dropping temperatures into the upper 70s and lower 80s.
Temperatures will bounce back to the mid-80s on Thursday and could reach about 93 degrees on Friday. That’s roughly two degrees above the daily records for May 15 in Kansas City (91 in 1941) and St. Joseph (92 in 2017).
Rain from some weather disturbances passing through on Friday could limit the heat and keep those daily records from being broken.
“All of this is just to say that there is still substantial uncertainty in the late week and weekend
forecast, and to stay tuned for future updates, which will provide more clarity,” the weather service said.
