NCAA Tournament

Baylor Bears vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs for NCAA title: Prediction, time, TV, betting line

Baylor guard Adam Flagler (10), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (23) and Matthew Mayer (24) celebrate a play against Arkansas during the second half of an Elite 8 game in the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium, Monday, March 29, 2021, in Indianapolis.
Baylor guard Adam Flagler (10), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (23) and Matthew Mayer (24) celebrate a play against Arkansas during the second half of an Elite 8 game in the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium, Monday, March 29, 2021, in Indianapolis. AP

Gonzaga or Baylor will win its first NCAA men’s basketball championship tonight.

Let’s break it down.

THE DETAILS

When: 8:20 p.m. (Central) Monday

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

TV: CBS

Radio: WHB (810 AM)

Betting line: Gonzaga by 4 1/2

PROJECTED LINEUPS

P

No.

Baylor

Ht.

Yr.

PPG

G

12

Jared Butler

6-3

Jr.

16.6

G

31

MaCio Teague6-4Sr.15.8

G

45Davion Mitchell6-2Jr.14.0

G

10

Adam Flagler

6-3

So.9.0

F

11

Mark Vital6-5Sr.5.6

P

No.

Gonzaga

Ht.

Yr.

PPG

G

1

Jalen Suggs6-4Fr.14.1

G

3

Andrew Nembhard6-5Jr.9.2

G

11

Joel Ayayi

6-5Jr.12.2

F

24

Corey Kispert6-7Sr.18.8

F

2

Drew TImme

6-10So.19.2

PREDICTION

About No. 1 seed Baylor (27-6):

It’s the second straight tournament for a Big 12 team in the title game. Texas Tech lost to Virginia in overtime for the 2019 championship. Baylor won its first conference title in 71 years this season, and now, like Gonzaga, seeks its first men’s hoops title. Davion Mitchell, the national defensive player of the year, looms large in this game. He’s likely to get the first call on Jalen Suggs. Can a combination of Mark Vital, Flo Thamba and Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua contain Drew Timme?

About No. 1 seed Gonzaga (31-0):

The Bulldogs are a scoring machine, with a nation-leading 91.6 points. They topped that in the 93-90 overtime semifinal victory over UCLA. Gonzaga, meanwhile, tops the nation with 49.6 points in the paint. How good was Timme at the start of overtime against the Bruins? Suggs did it all in that game, including a blocked shot that started a run-out that he finished with a bounce-pass assist. The Zags are a betting favorite to become Division I basketball’s eighth undefeated national champion.

Prediction:

Get ready for a great backcourt matchup, with Baylor’s Butler/Mitchell/MaCio Teague against the Zags’ Suggs/Kispert/Andrew Nembhard/Joel Ayayi. These are some great shooters and excellent defenders, especially among the Bears. Give a slight edge here to Baylor. The same slim margin favors Gonzaga in the frontcourt because of Timme. Baylor is terrific on the offensive boards and the Bears overall are a better defensive team. Gonzaga had its first major scare against UCLA, but that should serve the Bulldogs well. They had to make big plays in clutch moments, and that happened. Look for Baylor’s frontliners to get enough done on the defensive end, and for Butler and Mitchell to ultimately make the difference

Baylor 84. Gonzaga 80

Blair Kerkhoff
The Kansas City Star
Blair Kerkhoff has covered sports for The Kansas City Star since 1989. He was elected to the Missouri Sports Hall of Fame in 2023.
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