How did Trump’s hush money trial affect his support among voters? What new poll found

Former President Donald Trump’s felony conviction in his hush money trial could dampen his support among some voters — while galvanizing it among others, new polling reveals.

In a June 17 Ipsos poll conducted for Politico Magazine, 22% of respondents said they are less likely to support Trump and that the guilty verdict is an important factor in how they will vote.

A smaller share, 6%, said they are more likely to support Trump and that the verdict is an important factor in their electoral decision.

Meanwhile, a plurality of respondents, 40%, said the guilty verdict will not affect their likelihood of supporting Trump and that it will not be an important factor in their vote in November.

The poll, conducted from June 7-9, sampled 1,027 U.S. adults and had a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

The conviction was a major consideration for Democrats, a plurality, 40%, of whom said it would lessen their likelihood of supporting Trump and that it would be an important factor in their vote.

On the other hand, a plurality of Republicans, 41%, said the verdict would have no impact on their likelihood of supporting Trump and that it would not be a major factor in their electoral decision.

Notably, a plurality of independents, 21%, said the conviction would make them less likely to support Trump and that it would be a significant factor in their vote.

Opinions on the criminal justice system

The survey also asked respondents about their attitudes toward the American criminal justice system following Trump’s conviction, revealing distinct trends among Democrats and Republicans.

Thirty-nine percent of Republicans said they trust state court judges a fair amount or a great deal, marking a 10-point drop compared to a July survey.

Conversely, trust among Democrats in state court judges increased since July, jumping from 48% to 61%. The level of trust among independents was statistically unchanged between the surveys.

Additionally, Republican trust in district attorneys, prosecuting attorneys and state attorneys has decreased, dropping from 41% in July to 32%. Trust among Democrats and independents was statistically unchanged between the surveys.

Fifty-five percent of Republicans also said “current or former elected officials get special breaks in the criminal justice system,” marking a decrease from the 72% of Republicans who said the same in July. Opinions of Democrats and independents on this subject were statistically unchanged.

This story was originally published June 17, 2024 at 3:39 PM with the headline "How did Trump’s hush money trial affect his support among voters? What new poll found."