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Could more rain make Kansas City flooding worse? Here’s what the forecast says

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  • Flash flood warning remains in effect through 1 p.m. Thursday after heavy rain.
  • Rainfall Thursday expected to stay light, with tapering after 3 p.m. forecasted.
  • Weekend forecast shows return of heat with highs nearing 96 and slight rain chance.

The Kansas City metro remains under a flash flood warning through 1 p.m. Thursday following overnight thunderstorms that brought a record-breaking downpour and forced first-responders to make a series of water rescues.

But Kansas City residents assessing potential property damage and climbing to higher ground may be spared more rain Thursday.

According to the National Weather Service, there’s a 30% chance of showers or more thunderstorms Thursday, with the likelihood of rain tapering off after 3 p.m.

Kansas City has already received at least 2 inches of rain each of the last two days, but new rainfall is expected to amount to less than a tenth of an inch.

The cloud cover will likely keep temperatures unseasonably cool for mid-July, aided by a light northeast breeze of 7 mph. Thursday’s expected high of 79 degrees is a full 10 degrees cooler than Kansas City’s average maximum temperature of 89 degrees for July 17, according to weather service data.

Temperatures are expected to dip to a low of 70 degrees overnight with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday will bring back the heat with a high of 90 degrees and a heat index value of 96 degrees, although more rainfall won’t be out of the question for the waterlogged metro. The weather service puts the likelihood of more showers and thunderstorms Friday at 40%.

Saturday and Sunday are both expected to be sunny with predicted highs of 96 degrees. The weather service forecast notes a slight chance of rain after 1 a.m. Saturday.

This story was originally published July 17, 2025 at 12:19 PM.

Matthew Kelly
The Kansas City Star
Matthew Kelly is The Kansas City Star’s Kansas State Government reporter. He previously covered local government for The Wichita Eagle. Kelly holds a political science degree from Wichita State University.
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