Baseball Prospectus projects Royals will finish 72-90
It’s important to keep in mind that projections for the Royals last season were unkind.
Most picked the Royals to miss the World Series, although Jon Heyman of CBS Sports did pick them to make the World Series.
Knowing that, here is what Baseball Prospectus’ projected record is for the Royals in 2015:
72-90.
In fact, only two teams have a projected record worse than the Royals: the Twins and Phillies.
Naturally, fans of the 2014 American League Champion Royals were not impressed with Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings.
In the interest of fairness, here is what Mike Gianella and Rob McQuown wrote about PECOTA:
“Seriously, though, PECOTA doesn’t hate any player or anyone’s team. There are no biases in it based on anything but historical track records. For completeness, it should be noted that results such as the examples herein are not just ‘shrugged off’ — both accurate and inaccurate results are processed. So, while some projections are going to be surprising, it’s important to keep in mind that all-in-all, the results have been very accurate over the years.”
@royalsreview This says way more about PECOTA than it does the Royals. They must have forgotten to carry the 2.
— Matt Rippee (@mattrippee) January 28, 2015Royals projected W totals in the first batch of PECOTA standings, 2013-2015: 76, 79, 72
— Brandon H. (@BHIndepMO) January 28, 2015PECOTA has the Royals at 72-90. While there is a chance the Royals regress, I can't imagine it being that bad without major injuries.
— Josh Weaver (@Josh_Weaver816) January 28, 2015@djshort In 2014, PECOTA didn't think much of Royals or Giants, and amazingly, it's prediction on AL East was upside down. So there's that!
— DownInFront (@DownInFront2) January 28, 2015Just checked out PECOTA and wow look at the Royals 72-90 #PECOTA
— Julien Assouline (@JulienAssouline) January 28, 2015PECOTA has the Royals at 72 wins? Am I drunk?
— Alex Robinson (@ARobTweets) January 28, 2015Let's just say that PECOTA is skeptical of a Royals return to the World Series.
— Mike Engel (@michaelengel) January 28, 2015To reach Pete Grathoff, call 816-234-4330 or send email to pgrathoff@kcstar.com. Follow him at Twitter.com/pgrathoff
This story was originally published January 28, 2015 at 4:49 PM.