For Pete's Sake

Here’s how the Chiefs’ and Bills’ chances of being the AFC’s top seed changed Sunday

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Noah Gray (83) is tackled by Los Angeles Chargers cornerback Cam Hart (20) in the second quarter on Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Noah Gray (83) is tackled by Los Angeles Chargers cornerback Cam Hart (20) in the second quarter on Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. tljungblad@kcstar.com

Have we officially seen it all now?

Matthew Wright’s 31-yard field goal as the clock expired wasn’t pretty but it gave the Chiefs a 19-17 win in their “Sunday Night Football” game against the Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Wright’s kick hit the left upright and went through for the winning points, continuing the Chiefs’ wild season. That secured a ninth straight AFC West championship for the Chiefs, who are now 12-1.

And their chances of being the top seed in the AFC got a boost, too.

Entering the weekend, the Chiefs’ odds of being the No. 1 seed in the AFC was 63%, according to the website, Playoff Status. The Bills’ chance was 32%, while the Steelers were at 5%.

The Chiefs’ chances got a boost Sunday afternoon when the Bills (10-3) lost a wild game at SoFi Stadium. The Rams’ 44-42 victory over the Bills saw the Chiefs’ chances to be the top seed increase to 81% and the Steelers’ tick upward to 7%. Buffalo’s odds dropped to 12% at that point.

Pittsburgh trounced the Browns 27-17 on Sunday.

Things got even better for the Chiefs a few hours later.

Following the Chiefs’ victory on Sunday night, they now have an 87% shot at being the top seed in the AFC playoffs. That’s 24 percentage points higher than it was at 3 p.m. Sunday.

Buffalo’s chances dropped to 8% (which is 24 percentage points lower) and the Steelers’ slid back to 5%.

Buffalo holds the tiebreaker with the Chiefs, but KC can clinch that No. 1 seed — and the conference’s only playoff bye — with wins in three of their last four games in the regular season.

This story was originally published December 8, 2024 at 11:02 PM.

Pete Grathoff
The Kansas City Star
From covering the World Series to the World Cup, Pete Grathoff has done a little bit of everything since joining The Kansas City Star in 1997.
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