For Pete's Sake

Sizing up race for AFC’s top playoff seed heading into final five weeks of season

The race for the AFC’s top seed is wide open.
The race for the AFC’s top seed is wide open.

One day after the Chiefs’ loss at Green Bay, NFL Network host and sometimes game broadcaster Rich Eisen was unequivocal in his belief in Kansas City.

“I’ll say it one more time: I am not concerned about the Kansas City Chiefs,” Eisen said Monday on his show.

Co-host Chris Brockman was incredulous and immediately asked Eisen to explain himself.

“Something is going on here, which is middle of the season doldrums, which we’re not used to seeing from them,” Eisen said. “Mistakes that can get cleaned up. Let’s just say this: I don’t see (quarterback Patrick) Mahomes disintegrating to the point where he is less than.”

Eisen did express his concern for the Chiefs not being able to overcome small mistakes and the blanket coverage on tight end Travis Kelce.

But Eisen believes even if the Chiefs lose this Sunday to the Bills, they should win their next four games and finish with a 12-5 record.

“Is that good enough to be the (number) one seed? Maybe not,” Eisen said.

He went on to mention the race among the Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens and Jaguars for that top spot in the AFC playoffs.

Here is a closer look at that pursuit for the No. 1 seed. The percentage chance of being the No. 1 seed is from PlayoffStatus.com, while each team’s strength of schedule has been calculated by Tankathon.com.

Miami Dolphins

Record: 9-3

Ranking in AFC: First

Conference record: 6-2

Chance of being top seed: 31%

Change from last week: Up 19%

Strength of schedule rank: 12th

Opponents: vs. Jets; vs. Cowboys; at Ravens; vs. Bills

Baltimore Ravens

Record: 9-3

Ranking in AFC: Second

Conference record: 6-3

Chance of being top seed: 27%

Change from last week: Up 14%

Strength of schedule rank: 1st

Opponents: Vs. Rams; at Jaguars; at 49ers; vs. Dolphins; vs. Steelers

Chiefs

Record: 8-4

Ranking in AFC: Third

Conference record: 6-1

Chance of being top seed: 29%

Change from last week: Down 22%

Strength of schedule rank: 29th

Opponents: Vs. Bills; at Patriots; vs. Raiders; vs. Bengals; at Chargers

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record: 8-4

Ranking in AFC: Fourth

Conference record: 6-3

Chance of being top seed: 10%

Change from last week: Down 9%

Strength of schedule rank: 27th

Remaining opponents: at Browns; vs. Ravens; at Buccaneers; vs. Panthers; at Titans

Pete Grathoff
The Kansas City Star
From covering the World Series to the World Cup, Pete Grathoff has done a little bit of everything since joining The Kansas City Star in 1997.
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