Chiefs

Three numbers that mattered in Chiefs’ 38-35 win vs. Eagles in Super Bowl LVII

Here are three numbers that helped determine the result (and closeness) of the Kansas City Chiefs’ 38-35 Super Bowl LVII win against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday night at State Farm Stadium.

84%

The Chiefs offense won them the Super Bowl, making play after play against a lethal Eagles defense.

When KC had a first down, it converted that into a new first down or touchdown on 21 of its 25 attempts — good for an elite 84% series conversion rate.

The Chiefs scored 31 points on offense while only getting eight possessions, meaning Patrick Mahomes’ passing total (182 yards) and total yardage (340) didn’t tell the whole story.

-8.5

The biggest momentum-changing play of the game — by far — was a mistake by Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts.

On a third-and-5 in the second quarter, Hurts had the ball slip out of his hands during a run before kicking it away from him. Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton scooped it up and returned it 36 yards for a touchdown, giving KC its top play of the first half.

Hurts’ gaffe was worth negative-8.5 points via the advanced box score at rbsdm.com — the single biggest swing of the Super Bowl.

61%

The Eagles’ offense kept them in it with devastating efficiency during the most important downs.

Philadelphia converted 11 of 18 third downs — 61% — to keep pace with KC’s offense despite less explosiveness. The Eagles also were 2 for 2 on fourth-down attempts, and earned another free set of downs there via a Chiefs penalty.

The money downs weigh heavily in close games, and the Eagles helped themselves all night when they executed in those moments.

This story was originally published February 12, 2023 at 9:19 PM.

Follow More of Our Reporting on Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 57

Jesse Newell
The Kansas City Star
Jesse Newell covered the Chiefs for The Star until August 2025. He won an EPPY for best sports blog and previously was named top beat writer in his circulation by AP’s Sports Editors. His interest in sports analytics comes from his math teacher father, who handed out rulers to Trick-or-Treaters each year.
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