K-State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears: Big 12 football game prediction, odds, TV, time
AI-generated summary reviewed by our newsroom.
- K-State travels to Baylor for an 11 a.m. kickoff Saturday; Baylor favored by 6.5.
- Baylor fields one of the nation’s top offenses; QB Sawyer Robertson leads in passing.
- Klieman calls for defensive stops and sustained offensive drives as upset blueprint.
The Kansas State football team will play its first conference road game of the season when it heads to Baylor for an 11 a.m. kickoff against the Bears on Saturday at McLane Stadium.
For the Wildcats (2-3, 1-1 Big 12), it’s an opportunity to build off an encouraging victory over UCF. For the Bears (3-2, 1-1 Big 12), it’s an opportunity to prove they remain contenders in the league championship race despite some early stumbles.
Here’s everything you need to know about the game ...
Kansas State at Baylor: Game details
Kickoff: 11 a.m. on Saturday
Where: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
TV/stream: ESPN+
Radio: KCSP (610 AM) in Kansas City, KFH (1240 AM and 97.5 FM) in Wichita
The line: Baylor by 6.5 with an O/U of 61.5.
K-State at Baylor game prediction
In order for Kansas State to have a shot at pulling off an upset against Baylor on Saturday, a certain set of things need to transpire in Waco, Texas.
Chris Klieman spelled them out for the world during his weekly news conference.
“We’ve got to find ways to get off the field on defense and try to sustain some drives on offense so that we can play a little complementary football,” the K-State head coach said. “We don’t want to get into the 40s and have a shootout with them, and you’re not going to have a 10-6 game against these guys either.”
Can the Wildcats find a happy medium and potentially beat Baylor 38-24 like Auburn did or 27-24 like Arizona State was able to do? Or Will Baylor eclipse 40 points and win another high-scoring game?
That likely depends on how K-State plays on defense.
Baylor owns one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson leads the nation in passing yards (1,713) and passing touchdowns (17) through five games. Those are video-game numbers. The Bears are averaging 504.2 yards of offense per game. And they have won shootouts against SMU and Oklahoma State.
Slowing down the Bears won’t be easy. K-State has surrendered more than 400 yards in both of its past two games.
The Wildcats should be able to move the ball efficiently on offense with Dylan Edwards healthy at running back. Jayce Brown and Jerand Bradley are also expected to play at wide receiver, which should give Avery Johnson his full assortment of skill players.
K-State made several big changes last week, and they worked during a 34-20 victory over UCF. But Baylor studied them all week. It may not be easy to surprise the Bears with new formations on Saturday.
All things considered, the Baylor offense is the best unit in this game. That should give the Bears a small edge at home.
Score prediction: Baylor 35, K-State 30
Last game prediction: K-State 27, UCF 17✅ (Final score: K-State 34, UCF 20)
Season prediction record: 3-2
Season prediction record ATS: 4-1
Season record O/U: 2-3.
This story was originally published October 3, 2025 at 10:51 AM with the headline "K-State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears: Big 12 football game prediction, odds, TV, time."