Three-minute preview: Kansas State football at Iowa State

When/where: 11 a.m. Saturday at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa

TV/radio: Fox Sports KC; WHB (810 AM)

The series: Iowa State leads 49-46-4

The line: K-State by 6  1/2

What’s at stake

K-State can move to within one win of bowl eligibility and go above .500 in conference play with a victory. Iowa State is looking to win its first Big 12 game under new coach Matt Campbell.

Cheers if ...

The Wildcats run the ball for more than 200 yards. Iowa State is allowing 231 rushing yards per game. It will be a good day for K-State if it approaches that average.

Jeers if ...

Iowa State leads by double digits at halftime. The Cyclones built nice leads over Baylor and Oklahoma State before letting them slip away, but the Wildcats will have a harder time coming back.

Kellis Robinett’s pick: K-State, 31-28

Iowa State is going to pull off a Big 12 upset at some point this season, but it won’t be this week. K-State has won eight straight in the Farmaggedon series. Expect another close win in Ames.

1 The Cyclones have lost some hard-luck games, falling to Northern Iowa, No. 8 Baylor, Oklahoma State and Texas despite leading in the second half of all four games.

2 Iowa State linebacker Willie Harvey is a playmaker. He has forced two fumbles and made 5.5 tackles for loss this season.

3 Freshman return man Kene Nwangwu is one of the Big 12’s best special-teams players. He is averaging 25.1 yards and has returned four kickoffs for more than 40 yards.

Key matchup

K-State’s secondary vs. Iowa State receiver Allen Lazard: The Wildcats have been susceptible to deep balls in Big 12 games, surrendering long touchdown passes to Texas, Oklahoma and Texas Tech. Lazard has the talent to beat K-State corners Duke Shelley and D.J. Reed deep again this week. They will need to make him work for his yardage.

This story was originally published October 27, 2016 at 4:02 PM with the headline "Three-minute preview: Kansas State football at Iowa State."