Weather News

Kansas City’s July 4th weather: What you need to know from latest forecast

The weather for Independence Day is looking dry and muggy, making for a good day for outdoor plans on the holiday in Kansas City, according to the National Weather Service. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, however, moved back into the forecast overnight Friday through the weekend. Off-and-on scattered showers are possible over the weekend. The risk of severe weather is low.
The weather for Independence Day is looking dry and muggy, making for a good day for outdoor plans on the holiday in Kansas City, according to the National Weather Service. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, however, moved back into the forecast overnight Friday through the weekend. Off-and-on scattered showers are possible over the weekend. The risk of severe weather is low. National Weather Service in Kansas City

The weather for the Independence Day holiday is shaping up to be dry, albeit a bit muggy in Kansas City, according to the National Weather Service.

Temperatures are expected to be around 92 degrees, with heat index values in the mid- to upper 90s, according to the weather service. Dew point values, which measure the amount of moisture in the air, will be in the upper 70s, making it feel sticky and muggy.

Typically, the metro’s daytime temperature is around 87 degrees this time of year, with overnight temperatures dropping to around 67 degrees.

July 4th holiday forecast for Kansas City

“For Friday/Independence Day, somewhat of a rinse and repeat to Thursday as it pertains to temperature and heat index,” the weather service said in its forecast discussion.

Hot and sticky weather is expected, but the 4th of July looks mostly good for outdoor plans.

The prevailing forecast suggests a dry day and evening across the area, especially the further east you go across Missouri, the weather service said.

Advanced computer weather models are hinting at the possibility of some scattered “air mass thunderstorms,” storms that usually form during warm and humid afternoons without a front or strong winds to trigger them, the weather service said. But that possibility is unlikely.

“There just seems to be a lot working against this possible air mass scenario,” the weather service said. “But, would be remiss not to mention the potential given the plethora of outdoor activities and forecast message last couple/few days largely being dry.”

Rain, thunderstorm chances increase this weekend

The possibility of showers and thunderstorms increases overnight on Friday and spreads across the region through much of the weekend, the weather service said. Folks should expect off-and-on showers and thunderstorms throughout the weekend.

The storms will likely be scattered, so not everyone will get rain at the same time. The weather service said most of the storm will not be much more than generic thunderstorm activity on Saturday.

On Sunday, there is potential for a few stronger storms, with strong winds being the primary concern, according to the weather service. The risk for strong to severe storms is low.

Temperatures will remain seasonable, climbing into the upper 80s on Saturday and Sunday. Heat index values are expected to be in the low 90s.

Rain remains in Kansas City’s forecast

Off-and-on showers and thunderstorms will continue into the workweek as the weather pattern remains unsettled and uncertain, according to the weather service.

The forecast remains uncertain as to when and where the storms will happen, but there is a persistent, low chance, 20-40%, of rain each day.

“Temperatures, when not directly affected by precipitation, appear to remain seasonable in the mid-80s to lower 90s along with dew points in the upper 60s/low 70s,” the weather service said. “This too would keep heat index values within the 90s throughout the period.”

Robert A. Cronkleton
The Kansas City Star
Robert A. Cronkleton is a breaking news reporter for The Kansas City Star, covering crime, courts, transportation, weather and climate. He’s been at The Star for 36 years. His skills include multimedia and data reporting and video and audio editing. Support my work with a digital subscription
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