Weather News

Hoping for a white Christmas? Historically, the odds are not in Kansas City’s favor

The odds are not in Kansas City’s favor when it comes to having a white Christmas. The chance for 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day is about 25%, according to the National Weather Service in Kansas City.
The odds are not in Kansas City’s favor when it comes to having a white Christmas. The chance for 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day is about 25%, according to the National Weather Service in Kansas City. National Weather Service in Kansas City

Dreaming of a white Christmas? Historically the chances are not great in Kansas City, according to the National Weather Service.

The weather service said on Twitter that it is already getting questions about whether there will be snow on the ground this upcoming holiday.

While it is too early for a specific forecast, the weather service expects it to be colder than normal. Typically, Kansas City sees 40 degree temperatures on Christmas.

“Climatologically in KC the chance for a white Christmas is about 25%,” the weather service said on Twitter.

Meteorologists define a white Christmas as having at least 1 inch of snow on the ground. Kansas City’s last white Christmas was in 2017, when 1.1 inches of snow fell on Christmas Eve, according to the National Weather Service in Kansas City.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s climate.gov website also determined the historic probability of a white Christmas for cities across the United States based on the latest U.S. Climate Normals, which are based on observed weather conditions between 1991 and 2020.

For Kansas City, the historic probability of a white Christmas is 19.8%, according to NOAA.

Areas that have the best chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day include Minnesota, Maine, Upstate New York, Idaho, the Rockies and the Sierra Nevada Mountains.

Robert A. Cronkleton
The Kansas City Star
Robert A. Cronkleton is a breaking news reporter for The Kansas City Star, covering crime, courts, transportation, weather and climate. He’s been at The Star for 36 years. His skills include multimedia and data reporting and video and audio editing. Support my work with a digital subscription
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