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Will Trump be found guilty in his NY criminal trial? Poll reveals what voters believe

Nearly two-thirds of American voters believe former President Donald Trump will be found guilty on some counts in his Manhattan criminal trial, according to a new poll.
Nearly two-thirds of American voters believe former President Donald Trump will be found guilty on some counts in his Manhattan criminal trial, according to a new poll. Photo from History in HD, UnSplash

Most Americans believe former President Donald Trump’s “hush money” trial — the first-ever criminal trial against an ex-president — will end in at least one guilty verdict, according to new polling.

Nearly two-thirds of U.S. voters, 65%, believe Trump will be convicted on some charges in the trial, which is currently underway in New York City, according to a May 7 Suffolk University/USA Today poll.

The poll, conducted from April 30 to May 3, sampled 1,000 registered voters from all 50 states and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.


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In the poll, half of respondents said they believed Trump will be found guilty only on some of the counts, while 15% said they believed he would be convicted on all counts.

On the other hand, around a quarter of respondents, 23%, said they believed he would be found not guilty on all counts, while 10% were unsure.

Additionally, 44% of respondents said they believed the trial — which began on April 15 — has not been fair, while 39% said they believed it was fair.

This question largely divided respondents along partisan lines, with 76% of Democrats claiming the trial is fair and 80% of Republicans claiming it is unfair.

Independents were split down the middle, with 37% saying Trump is receiving a fair trial and 37% saying he is not.

Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for president, faces 34 counts of allegedly falsifying business records to cover up a payment made to porn star Stormy Daniels in the lead-up to the 2016 election.

Trump has maintained his innocence, calling the trial a “witch hunt” orchestrated by President Joe Biden’s administration.

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This story was originally published May 9, 2024 at 11:34 AM with the headline "Will Trump be found guilty in his NY criminal trial? Poll reveals what voters believe."

BR
Brendan Rascius
McClatchy DC
Brendan Rascius is a McClatchy national real-time reporter covering politics and international news. He has a master’s in journalism from Columbia University and a bachelor’s in political science from Southern Connecticut State University.
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