Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor who’s expected to run for the White House in 2016, is leading in an early poll of New Hampshire, the nation’s first primary state.
That’s good news for the Republican, who needs very, very badly to win the state, which has its primary scheduled for Jan. 26.
Why? Because Bush almost certainly will not win the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses now set for Jan. 18. (More moderate candidates don’t usually win caucus states, which tend to attract more die-hard conservative voters). And he may not win South Carolina, which is typically third in line in the 2016 primary/caucus cavalcade, although it’s now scheduled, tentatively, for Feb. 13.
So New Hampshire, which is friendlier toward more establishment candidates like Bush, is critical for the son and brother of former presidents.
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In a New Hampshire poll released Thursday by Suffolk University, Bush was the first choice of 19 percent of respondents. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker came in second at 14 percent followed by Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 7 percent and Donald Trump at 6 percent.