It’s important to keep in mind that projections for the Royals last season were unkind.
Knowing that, here is what Baseball Prospectus’ projected record is for the Royals in 2015:
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In fact, only two teams have a projected record worse than the Royals: the Twins and Phillies.
Naturally, fans of the 2014 American League Champion Royals were not impressed with Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings.
In the interest of fairness, here is what Mike Gianella and Rob McQuown wrote about PECOTA:
“Seriously, though, PECOTA doesn’t hate any player or anyone’s team. There are no biases in it based on anything but historical track records. For completeness, it should be noted that results such as the examples herein are not just ‘shrugged off’ — both accurate and inaccurate results are processed. So, while some projections are going to be surprising, it’s important to keep in mind that all-in-all, the results have been very accurate over the years.”
To reach Pete Grathoff, call 816-234-4330 or send email to firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow him at Twitter.com/pgrathoff