It’s a pretty wide open race for the Cy Young Award this year.
In the National League, the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw is going for a second straight award against Mets knuckleballer R.A. Dickey and the Nationals’ Gio Gonzalez.
Dickey was 20-6 with a 2.73 ERA, 230 strikeouts and a 1.05 WHIP. Kershaw was 14-9 with a 2.53 ERA, 229 strikeouts and a 1.02 WHIP, while Gonzalez was 21-8 with a 2.89 ERA, 207 strikeouts and a 1.13 WHIP.
The American League race pits Justin Verlander of the Tigers, the Angels’ Jared Weaver and the Rays’ David Price. Verlander was 17-8 with a 2.64 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 239 strikeouts. Weaver was 20-5 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 142 strikeouts. Price went 20-5 with a 2.56 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 205 strikeouts.
Bruce Bukiet, an associate professor of mathematical sciences at the New Jersey Institute of Technology, annually picks the winner of the Cy Young and MVP awards, and there was a mild surprise this year, although not for who he forecasts and the winner.
Bukiet determines the player who deserves these award as the player in each league who would have taken a team made up of all average players at each position and given that team the most extra wins (above 81-81) if he replaced the average player at his position in the lineup.
Basically, it’s Bukiet’s own WAR calculation, and he uses wins, saves, ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average to calculate. This was done with the help of undergraduate student Kevin Fritz who is in his sophomore year at University of Pennsylvania.
In the American League, the Cy Young would go to Verlander, who would have added 3.6 wins. Weaver was second (2.8) and Price third (2.6).
In the National League, the Cy Young should again go to the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw, whose performance would have added 3.7 wins to an average team. The runner-up would be the Giants’ Matt Cain, who is not a finalist. He had 2.64 extra wins, just ahead of Dickey (2.56).
Who do you think will win?
| Pete Grathoff, firstname.lastname@example.org