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Democrats have some thinking to do after Tuesday’s elections, but Republicans don’t have time to think. They’re too busy trying to survive the party’s internal purge and avoid being shipped off to political Siberia.
Will loyal members inform on others for harboring suspiciously moderate views? Will anyone judged guilty have to wear a sign saying “Republican In Name Only” as penance? Will there be re-education camps? Will deviationists face the Enhanced Interrogation Technique of being forced to listen to the wit and wisdom of Glenn Beck for days on end?
Or will the ideologically impure be required to read — and commit to memory — every golden word of Sarah Palin’s memoir, “Going Rogue”? Her publisher might consider culling the highlights into a pocket edition. That way, any Republican caught without a copy of “Quotations from Chairman Sarah” could be summarily expelled from the party.
The big story from Tuesday’s vote ought to be that independents, who gave Democrats their sweeping victory last November, went with the Republicans this time in New Jersey and Virginia. Indeed, Democrats are trying to figure out what that means. Given President Obama’s continuing personal popularity, has his cool, consensus-building style been the right strategy all along? Or, as some on the left believe, did a lack of fight and fervor leave independents cold? Or was it all about the unemployment numbers?
The Democrats’ soul-searching is far less compelling than the Republicans’ civil war. The “tea party” conservatives — led by Palin, Beck, Rush Limbaugh, Dick Armey and others fed up with the GOP “establishment” — managed to get Democrat Bill Owens elected in a solidly Republican upstate New York congressional district. They accomplished this feat by driving the Republican candidate, Dede Scozzafava, from the race because of her apostasy on abortion and gay rights.
The Palinites backed a third-party conservative named Doug Hoffman. Scozzafava pulled out and threw what support she had to Owens, who won by four points.
The net result is minus-one for the Republicans and plus-one for the Democrats in the House. That arithmetic seems to have escaped Erick Erickson, editor in chief of the Web site RedState.com, which is almost as influential in the tea party world as Palin’s Facebook page. He wrote: “This is a huge win for conservatives.… We did exactly what we set out to do — crush the establishment- backed GOP candidate.” But Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele did say quite logically that he didn’t “see a victory in losing seats.”
The tea party people have made clear, however, that logic doesn’t count — and that this is just the beginning. The next target, now that they’ve made the world safe from Scozzafava, seems to be Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running for the Senate. Crist committed the unforgivable sin of supporting Obama’s stimulus bill and must face a conservative former state legislator, Marco Rubio, in the primary.
Erickson wrote, “If Crist wants to own the mantle of ‘GOP Establishment Candidate,’ let’s tie it around his waist and throw him in one of Florida’s many lagoons.”
The good news for the Republican Party is that its far-right conservative base is energized. The bad news is that the far-right conservative base isn’t big enough to elect national or even statewide candidates without help from moderate Republicans and independents. The two new Republican governors-elect, Bob McDonnell in Virginia and Chris Christie in New Jersey, did just that. If the party is going to insist on ideological purity from every candidate in every state, it will cede the political center.
Sensible Republicans get it. But any GOP officeholder up for re-election has to worry about a primary challenge from the right, with Palin posting attacks on social networking sites and Beck shouting treason. I don’t expect to see many profiles in courage.
Republicans, hide any old copies of The Nation you might have lying around. Keep all televisions tuned to Fox News. The Palinites might be coming for you.
© 2009, The Washington Post Writers Group
E-mail Eugene Robinson at eugenerobinson@globe.com.
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