Its as if they didnt learn a thing from the 2012 elections. Republicans are on the same suicide mission as before trying to block immigration reform (if they cant scuttle it in the Senate, theyre ready to in the House), roll back the clock on abortion rights (theyre pushing federal and state legislation to ban abortions after the first 22 weeks) and stop gay marriage wherever possible.
By ROBERT B. REICH
Tribune Media Services
As almost everyone knows by now, this puts them on the wrong side of history. America is becoming more ethnically diverse, women are gaining economic and political power, and young people are more socially libertarian than ever before.
Why cant Republicans learn? Its no answer to say their base wont budge. The Democratic Party of the 1990s simply ignored its old base and became New Democrats, spearheading the North American Free Trade Agreement (to the chagrin of organized labor), performance standards in classrooms (resisted by teachers unions), and welfare reform and crime control (upsetting traditional liberals).
I wasnt particularly happy about all these moves. But they did at least give the Democratic Party a new lease on life, allowing it to achieve victories such as new investments in education and infrastructure, and the first comprehensive health-care law in American history.
You wont hear about New Republicans taking over the Republican Party because the GOPs base is far more entrenched.
And its power is concentrated in mostly rural states including most of the old Confederacy, the mountain states and Indiana which together exert more of a chokehold on the Republican national party machinery than the old Democrats, spread widely but thinly over many states, exerted on the Democratic Party.
These Republican states are more homogenous and conspicuously less like the rest of America than the urbanized regions of the country that are growing more rapidly. Senators and representatives from these states naturally reflect the dominant views of their constituents on immigration, abortion and gay marriage, as well as guns, marijuana, race and dozens of other salient issues. But these views are increasingly out of step with where most of the nation is heading.
This state-centered, relatively homogenous GOP structure effectively prevents the party from changing its stripes.
Despite all the post-election rhetoric about the necessity for change emanating from GOP leaders who aspire to the national stage, the national stage isnt really what the GOP is most interested in or attuned to. Its directed inward rather than outward, to its state constituents rather than to the nation.
This structure also blocks any would-be New Republicans such as New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie from gaining the kind of power inside the party that a New Democrat like Bill Clinton received in 1992. The only way theyd be able to attract a following inside the party would be to commit themselves to policies theyd have to abandon immediately upon getting nominated, as Mitt Romney did with disastrous results.
Its true that by 1992 Democrats were far more desperate to win the presidency having been in the wilderness for 12 years than todays GOP appears to be. Nonetheless its doubtful the GOP will be willing to eschew its old base even if it loses the presidency again in 2016 because without its collection of relatively homogenous states, there just isnt much of a GOP.
The greater likelihood is a steady eclipse of the Republican Party at the national level, even as it becomes more entrenched in particular states. Those states can be expected to become regressive islands of backwardness within a nation growing steadily more progressive.
The GOPs national role will be primarily negative seeking to block, delay and filibuster measures that will eventually become the law of the land in any event, while simultaneously preaching states rights and praying for conservative majorities on the Supreme Court.
In other words, more of the same.
Robert Reich, a former U.S. labor secretary, is a professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley.