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Posted on Tue, Mar. 15, 2011 10:45 AM
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Glenn Beck's youth problem

Updated: 2011-03-15T16:06:42Z
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On Monday morning, listeners in Kansas City may have been surprised to hear KMBZ fill-in guy Chris Merrill filling in for Glenn Beck ... for good.

The news-talker yanked "The Glenn Beck Show" from its cozy 9-11 a.m. perch and demoted it to late nights. And in came Merrill, a boomy-voiced libertarian less versed in the conspiracies surrounding George Soros than the rantings of George Costanza.

I did the KMBZ Friday roundtable with Merrill in December, and we talked again last night for a story I'll be writing on him. I like him a lot, and I like what KMBZ is trying to do here — attract a younger listener to a station whose format just naturally skews to older listeners.

It's a tall task for a news-talk station to go young; frankly, few of them seem to try. On the TV side, whether it's MSNBC or Fox News, the viewer is bound to be middle-aged, for whatever reason. (HLN, with its heavy doses of scandal and celebrity, is the exception.)

But the youth problem is really biting Beck right now. The kids aren't taking to Professor Glenn's dumbed-down distance-learning course known as The Left's New World Order for Dummies 101. It's easily lampooned — as Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert have shown again and again — and the message of fear and suspicion just doesn't click with a generation that, polls show again and again, are more idealistic and open-minded than their parents.

This is especially clear when you look at the precipitous falloff in audience for his Fox News Channel show.

Show P2+ 2011 P2+ 2010 Chg A18-49 2011 A18-49 2010 Chg A55+ 2011 A55+ 2010 Chg
Glenn Beck 1900 2820 -32.6% 277 511 -45.8% 1389 1963 -29.2%
O’Reilly Factor 3123 3681 -15.16% 467 585 -20.1% 2262 2635 -14.16%

Numbers are in thousands (000). P2+ is all persons ages 2-up, A18-49 is 18-to-49-year-olds and A55+ is, well, Grandpa. Source: Nielsen, as crunched by Brad Adgate of Horizon Media. Table by me.

In the year following an election and after years of growth, it’s not that surprising that Fox News should be having a down quarter. But Beck isn’t helping matters. As you can see, his falloff in audience is twice as great, in percentage terms, as that of Bill O’Reilly. But his audience falloff among the younger demographic that advertisers are trying to reach is alarming: nearly half of 18-49-year-olds, nearly 40 percent of 25-54-year-olds. Meanwhile, the dropoff with viewers 55-plus is not as steep. So Beck’s audience is not only getting smaller, it’s getting older.

Radio managers are dumping Beck elsewhere too. To be fair, it’s not all about him. In KC, Philly and other markets, management also wanted a local voice in there instead of a syndicated one. But clearly, demographics are Beck’s worst enemy on TV and, I suspect, on radio as well.

Posted on Tue, Mar. 15, 2011 10:45 AM
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