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Posted on Sat, Nov. 07, 2009 10:15 PM
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Both parties feel independents' wrath

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America’s voters, obviously up on their Shakespeare, are clear: A plague onbothyour houses.

In dozens of polls and surveys, more people than ever before now describe themselves as independents — angry and frustrated with Republicans and Democrats. At the same time, the number of voters pledging allegiance to either major party has plummeted to a near-record low.

And many of those independents aren’t shy about telling researchers and politicians what they’re looking for: problem-solvers, not major party hacks.

“They want to get past special interest politics,” said Jackie Salit, president of the Committee for a Unified Independent Party, a group formed to make independents a “force” in national politics.

The raw numbers are there. A Pew Research Center survey this past summer showed 36 percent of voters — a record — considered themselves independents. A new Ipsos-McClatchy poll put independents at 44 percent.

Exit polls show independent voters were among the keys to Republican victories in Virginia and New Jersey last week, and they’re expected to be the biggest voting bloc of all in 2010.

“Independents want more direct participation in the policymaking process,” Salit said. “They want leadership that makes decisions based on what’s good for a community, a city, a state, a country.”

But while the short-term influence is obvious, it isn’t clear if the growing independent vote — partially reflected in a summer of tea parties, town halls and protests — can be turned into a realignment of American politics through a permanent third party or independent coalition.

Eventually, most Republicans and Democrats believe, independent voters will come back to the fold.

“I am a big fan of the two-party system,” former House speaker Newt Gingrich told a University of Kansas audience last week. “It forces us to fight out all sorts of things.”

Gingrich ran into his own third-party populist buzz saw this fall by backing a liberal Republican in a special House election in New York — an election that may show the promise and pitfalls of third-party candidacies.

Conservatives, including hundreds of tea-party activists, rejected Gingrich’s candidate and backed third-party hopeful Doug Hoffman instead. That embarrassed Gingrich, a potential GOP presidential candidate in 2012.

But Hoffman lost Tuesday. Republicans and Democrats said the outcome suggests that third-party candidates can still cause problems, but they usually struggle to win elections.

“If all you want to do is protest and be angry, that’s fine, but, by the way, (Nancy) Pelosi and (Barack) Obama will stay in power,” Gingrich said.

Bill Lacy, executive director of the Dole Institute for Politics and a veteran of several presidential campaigns, said third parties generally fail to last longer than the candidates who start them.

“Third parties are usually personality-driven,” Lacy said. “You look at Ross Perot (in 1992), John Anderson (in 1980), George Wallace (in 1968) … you go right down the list, and they’re not really parties. They’re really groups of followers of an individual.”

Pat Choate, an economist now helping to develop fuels with a company called Green Planet, ran for vice president on Perot’s Reform Party ticket in 1996. He says the bad economy explains the surge in independents.

“When times are really good … most people will just stick with the two parties,” Choate said. “When you get into tougher times … people say, ‘Hey, we can do better than that.’ ”

To reach Dave Helling, call 816-234-4656 or send e-mail to dhelling@kcstar.com.

Posted on Sat, Nov. 07, 2009 10:15 PM
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